Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk is the danger of being unable to trade quickly at a fair price, or running short of cash. Learn its two types, how to measure it and controls.
A position is only worth its screen price if you can actually sell it there. Liquidity risk is the danger that you cannot trade quickly enough, in the size you need, without moving the price against you, or that you run short of cash when you need it. In calm markets, liquidity seems abundant; in crises, it can vanish within minutes, turning manageable losses into disasters. Many famous blow ups, from Long Term Capital Management to leveraged funds in 2020, were at heart liquidity events.
Two types of liquidity risk#
| Type | Meaning | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Market (asset) liquidity risk | Unable to sell an asset without a large price concession | A small cap stock with thin trading, or a bond market freezing |
| Funding liquidity risk | Unable to meet cash obligations such as margin calls or redemptions | A leveraged fund forced to sell to meet margin |
The two feed each other: funding pressure forces sales, sales push prices down in illiquid markets, lower prices trigger more margin calls. This is a liquidity spiral. See Systemic Risk.
Measuring market liquidity#
| Measure | What it shows | Lesson |
|---|---|---|
| Bid ask spread | Cost of an immediate round trip | Bid-Ask Spread |
| Market depth | Size available near the best prices | The Order Book and Market Depth |
| Average daily volume | How much trades normally | Volume |
| Days to liquidate | Position size divided by a safe share of daily volume | This lesson |
| Price impact | How much prices move per unit traded | Market Impact |
See Measuring Liquidity.
Funding liquidity#
Funding risk affects anyone with obligations:
- Margin calls on leveraged positions. See Margin.
- Redemptions for funds, which may have to sell assets to pay investors.
- Collateral calls on derivatives.
- Short squeezes forcing buybacks. See Short Selling.
Historical liquidity crises#
| Event | Liquidity issue |
|---|---|
| LTCM, 1998 | Huge leveraged positions in markets that dried up after Russia's default. See The Collapse of LTCM |
| 2008 | Interbank funding and many credit markets froze. See The 2008 Financial Crisis |
| Flash Crash, 2010 | Liquidity disappeared within minutes. See The 2010 Flash Crash |
| March 2020 | Even US Treasuries, normally the most liquid market, became hard to trade until central banks intervened. See The COVID-19 Crash |
Managing liquidity risk#
- Size positions relative to normal volume and expected crisis volume.
- Keep cash buffers and borrowing capacity for margin calls.
- Avoid matching illiquid assets with short term funding or easy redemptions.
- Stress test liquidity: assume wider spreads and lower volume. See Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis.
- Use limit orders and avoid trading illiquid assets at the open or in panics. See Limit Orders.
- Know exit routes before entering.
Liquidity for individual traders#
Retail traders face liquidity risk in small caps, options with wide spreads, low volume crypto tokens and leveraged accounts. A stop loss is a market order once triggered and can fill far below the stop in a thin or gapping market. See Slippage and Stop Orders.
Frequently asked questions#
What is liquidity risk?#
The risk of being unable to sell assets quickly at fair prices, or of being unable to meet cash obligations when they fall due.
What is a liquidity spiral?#
A cycle where forced selling lowers prices, which triggers more margin calls and more forced selling.
How can I reduce liquidity risk?#
Trade liquid instruments, size positions relative to volume, keep cash buffers, avoid excessive leverage and use limit orders.
Next, learn about risks from processes, people and models in Operational and Model Risk.
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Mentioned in
- Value at Risk (VaR)Portfolio and Performance
- Market, Credit and Counterparty RiskPortfolio and Performance
- Risk, Position, Loss and Drawdown LimitsPortfolio and Performance
- Liquidity FactorResearch and Backtesting
- Prime BrokerageThe Trading Industry
- Risk AnalystThe Trading Industry