# How Polymarket Works

> A clear guide to how Polymarket works: Yes and No shares, the order book, USDC, fees, how markets resolve through UMA and Chainlink, and the risks to know.

Source: https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/how-polymarket-works/  
Track: Prediction Markets · Level: Beginner · Updated: 2026-10-03  
Publisher: TradeLabs AI (https://tradelabsai.com). Education, not financial advice.  
Cite as: TradeLabs Learn, "How Polymarket Works", https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/how-polymarket-works/

Polymarket is the largest crypto based prediction market. People use it to trade on the outcomes of elections, economic decisions, sports, crypto prices and many other events. Each market asks a question with defined outcomes, and traders buy and sell shares that pay $1 if their outcome happens. This lesson explains the mechanics: what a share is, how trading works, where prices come from and how markets are settled. If you are new to the idea, start with [What Are Prediction Markets?](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/what-are-prediction-markets/).

## Shares and payouts

Every market has outcome shares, most often Yes and No. A winning share pays $1 when the market resolves; a losing share pays $0. Prices move between 0¢ and 100¢ and reflect the market's view of the probability. See [Reading Odds as Probabilities](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/reading-odds-as-probabilities/).

| You buy | Price | If correct | If wrong |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Yes shares | 40¢ ($40) | $100 (profit $60) | $0 (loss $40) |
| 100 No shares | 61¢ ($61) | $100 (profit $39) | $0 (loss $61) |

Polymarket's shares are tokens built on the Conditional Token Framework, originally developed by Gnosis. One Yes and one No share together can always be redeemed for $1, which is why their prices add up to roughly $1. A pair can be created by depositing $1 of collateral, and a pair can be merged back into $1.

## Money and network

Trading uses USDC, a dollar stablecoin, on the Polygon network. Users deposit funds into a wallet connected to their account; the platform handles most of the blockchain steps in the background. See [Stablecoins](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/crypto/stablecoins/) and [Blockchain Basics](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/crypto/blockchain-basics/).

## The order book

Polymarket uses a central limit order book, much like a stock exchange. Orders are matched off chain for speed and settled on chain.

- **Bids** are offers to buy shares at a price; **asks** are offers to sell.
- **Limit orders** rest in the book at your chosen price. See [Limit Orders](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/orders/limit-orders/).
- **Market orders** fill immediately against the best available prices. See [Market Orders](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/orders/market-orders/).
- The **spread** between the best bid and best ask is a cost to anyone trading immediately. See [Bid-Ask Spread](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/markets/bid-ask-spread/).

Because Yes and No are linked, a bid for Yes at 40¢ is equivalent to an offer to sell No at 60¢. The book shows both views of the same liquidity.

**Example: Buying with a limit order**
A market shows Yes with a best bid of 38¢ and a best ask of 41¢. Buying 200 shares at market would fill at 41¢ (if there are enough shares at that price), costing $82. Instead, you place a limit order at 39¢. If a seller later meets your price, you pay $78, saving $4, but you risk never being filled if the price rises. See [Market vs Limit Orders](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/orders/market-vs-limit-orders/).

## Fees

Most Polymarket markets have historically charged no trading fee, though some fast moving markets have used taker fees with rebates for liquidity providers. Fees can change, so check the platform's current fee page. Even without fees, the spread and slippage are real costs. See [Transaction Costs](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/orders/transaction-costs/).

## How markets resolve

Each market has written rules stating how the outcome is decided, the source and the time. Two systems are used:

- **UMA's optimistic oracle** for most markets: after the event, someone proposes the outcome and posts a bond. If no one disputes it within the challenge window, it becomes final. If disputed, UMA token holders vote. See [Oracles](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/crypto/oracles/).
- **Automated price feeds** for short crypto markets: up or down rounds settle on Chainlink price data at fixed times, with no human proposal needed. See [Up or Down Markets Explained](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/up-or-down-markets-explained/).

Rules matter. Traders have lost money because a question resolved on a technicality they did not read. Always read the market rules before trading.

## Selling before resolution

You do not have to hold until the end. If you bought Yes at 40¢ and news lifts it to 70¢, you can sell for a 30¢ profit per share. Many traders never hold to resolution; they trade changes in probability. When a market resolves, winning shares can be redeemed for $1 each.

## Who can use it

Polymarket's international platform is not available everywhere, and the rules differ by country. In 2025 Polymarket acquired a CFTC licensed exchange to offer a regulated version to US users. Availability changes over time, so check the platform's terms and your local laws.

## Risks

- **Total loss per share** if your outcome does not happen.
- **Resolution and rules risk.**
- **Liquidity:** thin markets have wide spreads.
- **Smart contract, wallet and custody risk** from crypto infrastructure. See [Bridge and Smart Contract Risk](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/crypto/bridge-and-smart-contract-risk/).
- **Behavioural risk:** fast markets invite overtrading. See [Overtrading](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/psychology/overtrading/).

## Frequently asked questions

### How does Polymarket make money?

Polymarket has historically charged no fees on most markets; some markets carry taker fees. Its business model and fees can change, so check its current documentation.

### What currency does Polymarket use?

USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar, on the Polygon network.

### How are Polymarket markets resolved?

Most resolve through UMA's optimistic oracle, where a proposed outcome can be disputed; short crypto up or down markets settle automatically on Chainlink price data.

Next, learn to judge whether a price is good value in [Reading Odds as Probabilities](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/reading-odds-as-probabilities/).

## Sources

- Polymarket, [Documentation](https://docs.polymarket.com/)
- Wikipedia, [Polymarket](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket)

## Continue learning

- Next lesson: [Reading Odds as Probabilities](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/reading-odds-as-probabilities/)
- Previous lesson: [What Are Prediction Markets?](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/what-are-prediction-markets/)
- Related: [What Are Prediction Markets?](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/what-are-prediction-markets/): Prediction markets let you trade shares that pay $1 if an event happens. Learn how prices become probabilities, how they settle, the risks and how to start.
- Related: [Reading Odds as Probabilities](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/reading-odds-as-probabilities/): Learn to turn prediction market prices into probabilities, adjust for spreads and long shot bias, compare with your own estimate and find value with expected value.
- Related: [Up or Down Markets Explained](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/up-or-down-markets-explained/): Polymarket's up or down markets ask whether a coin finishes a short window above its start price. Learn the round lengths, settlement sources, pricing and risks.
- Related: [Price to Beat and How Rounds Settle](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/prediction-markets/price-to-beat/): The price to beat is the start price an up or down round must match or beat for Up to win. Learn where it comes from and why it differs from your exchange.
- Related: [Oracles](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/crypto/oracles/): Oracles bring outside data like prices and event results onto blockchains. Learn how Chainlink feeds and UMA's optimistic oracle work, and how attacks happen.
- Related: [Limit Orders](https://learn.tradelabsai.com/orders/limit-orders/): A limit order trades only at your price or better. Learn how buy and sell limits work, why they may not fill, queue priority and how to set a smart limit price.
